Matches 2026-2744 starts
Minutes309
Goals0
Assists0
Next match
Model estimate
Paderborn v 
VfB Stuttgart
To score16%
To assist7%
Goal or assist22%
Shots1.1expected, in 62 minutes
In our likely line-up (started 4 of the team's last 5). From Vesta's expected goals for the team, his expected goals and goals per 90 minutes and the minutes he is likely to play.
Chances
2026-27, total and per 90 minutesExpected goals0.30.08 per 90
Expected assists0.50.13 per 90
Shots51.46 per 90
Key passes41.17 per 90
Against the peers
2026-27, per 90 minutesAmong the 21 forwards of the Bundesliga with 270 minutes or more. The bar is the percentile: 90 means better than 9 in 10 of them.
Per 90Percentile
Goals0.05
Expected goals0.085
Shots1.4610
Assists0.018
Expected assists0.1320
Key passes1.1735
Season projection
Model estimateGoals at the end40 now; 8 in 10 between 2 and 7
Assists at the end20 now; 8 in 10 between 0 and 4
Top scorer–in the Bundesliga
Most assists–
Every remaining Bundesliga match simulated with Vesta; the team's goals shared among its players by their recent part in its attack. The whole race
In numbers
Top five leagues since 2023-24- 14league goals in 93 matches
- 7goals in 2024-25, the best season
- 2matches in a row with a goal, the longest run
Last matches
| Date | Match | Min | G | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 20 Sep | Paderborn 3–1 Hoffenheim | 46 | ||
| Sat 12 Sep | Borussia Dortmund 3–0 Paderborn | 90 | ||
| Sat 5 Sep | Paderborn 0–1 Freiburg | 83 | ||
| Sat 29 Aug | Mainz 05 0–0 Paderborn | 90 | ||
| Sat 16 May | FC Heidenheim 0–2 Mainz 05 | 49 | ||
| Sun 10 May | FC Cologne 1–3 FC Heidenheim | 90 | ||
| Sat 2 May | Bayern Munich 3–3 FC Heidenheim | 81 | ||
| Sat 25 Apr | FC Heidenheim 2–0 St. Pauli | 90 | ||
| Sun 19 Apr | Freiburg 2–1 FC Heidenheim | 90 | ||
| Sat 11 Apr | FC Heidenheim 3–1 Union Berlin | 80 | 1 | |
| Sat 4 Apr | Borussia M.Gladbach 2–2 FC Heidenheim | 90 | ||
| Sat 21 Mar | FC Heidenheim 3–3 Bayer Leverkusen | 25* | 2 | |
| Sat 7 Mar | FC Heidenheim 2–4 Hoffenheim | 51 | ||
| Sat 28 Feb | Werder Bremen 2–0 FC Heidenheim | 22* | ||
| Sun 22 Feb | FC Heidenheim 3–3 VfB Stuttgart | 72 | ||
| Sun 15 Feb | Augsburg 1–0 FC Heidenheim | 26* | ||
| Sat 7 Feb | FC Heidenheim 0–2 Hamburger SV | 50 | ||
| Sun 1 Feb | Borussia Dortmund 3–2 FC Heidenheim | 85 | ||
| Sat 24 Jan | FC Heidenheim 0–3 RasenBallsport Leipzig | 78 | ||
| Sat 17 Jan | Wolfsburg 1–1 FC Heidenheim | 87 |
* came on as a substitute.