Matches 2026-2744 starts
Minutes297
Goals2
Assists3
Next match
Model estimate
Mainz 05 v 
Bayer Leverkusen
To score22%
To assist21%
Goal or assist38%
Shots1.8expected, in 75 minutes
In our likely line-up (started 5 of the team's last 5). From Vesta's expected goals for the team, his expected goals and goals per 90 minutes and the minutes he is likely to play.
Chances
2026-27, total and per 90 minutesExpected goals1.00.30 per 90
Expected assists2.50.75 per 90
Shots123.64 per 90
Key passes61.82 per 90
Against the peers
2026-27, per 90 minutesAmong the 21 forwards of the Bundesliga with 270 minutes or more. The bar is the percentile: 90 means better than 9 in 10 of them.
Per 90Percentile
Goals0.6155
Expected goals0.345
Shots3.6475
Assists0.91100
Expected assists0.75100
Key passes1.8265
Season projection
Model estimateGoals at the end92 now; 8 in 10 between 6 and 12
Assists at the end113 now; 8 in 10 between 8 and 15
Top scorer–in the Bundesliga
Most assists16%
Every remaining Bundesliga match simulated with Vesta; the team's goals shared among its players by their recent part in its attack. The whole race
In numbers
Top five leagues since 2019-20- 27league goals in 168 matches
- 11goals in 2022-23, the best season
- 12thin the Bundesliga scoring chart of 2026-27
- 42ndtop scorer of Mainz 05 in the seasons with complete player data
- 3matches in a row with a goal, the longest run
Last matches
| Date | Match | Min | G | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 19 Sep | Borussia M.Gladbach 3–4 Mainz 05 | 82 | 1 | 1 |
| Sat 12 Sep | Mainz 05 1–3 Eintracht Frankfurt | 77 | ||
| Sun 6 Sep | Hamburger SV 0–5 Mainz 05 | 69 | 1 | 2 |
| Sat 29 Aug | Mainz 05 0–0 Paderborn | 69 | ||
| Sat 16 May | FC Heidenheim 0–2 Mainz 05 | 80 | ||
| Sun 10 May | Mainz 05 1–3 Union Berlin | 90 | 1 | |
| Sun 3 May | St. Pauli 1–2 Mainz 05 | 74 | 1 | |
| Sat 25 Apr | Mainz 05 3–4 Bayern Munich | 75 | 1 | |
| Sun 19 Apr | Borussia M.Gladbach 1–1 Mainz 05 | 67 | ||
| Sun 12 Apr | Mainz 05 0–1 Freiburg | 90 | ||
| Sat 4 Apr | Hoffenheim 1–2 Mainz 05 | 78 | ||
| Sun 22 Mar | Mainz 05 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt | 90 | 1 | |
| Sun 15 Mar | Werder Bremen 0–2 Mainz 05 | 89 | 1 | |
| Sat 7 Mar | Mainz 05 2–2 VfB Stuttgart | 75 | ||
| Sat 28 Feb | Bayer Leverkusen 1–1 Mainz 05 | 76 | 1 | |
| Fri 20 Feb | Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV | 42* | ||
| Fri 13 Feb | Borussia Dortmund 4–0 Mainz 05 | 25* | ||
| Sat 7 Feb | Mainz 05 2–0 Augsburg | 24* | ||
| Sat 13 Dec 2025 | Barcelona 2–0 Osasuna | 22* | ||
| Mon 8 Dec 2025 | Osasuna 2–0 Levante | 14* |
* came on as a substitute.