- National teams
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Liechtenstein v Gibraltar
29%Liechtenstein
30%Draw
41%Gibraltar
Gibraltar, just.
TestedGibraltar win about 41 times in 100. The other 59: a draw (30) or a Liechtenstein win (29).
Forecast by Vesta, published Saturday 3 October 2026, 18:44 CEST, before kickoff.
3 or more goals41%
Both teams score48%
Expected goals1.1 v 1.3
Most likely score1-114% chance
Goals in the match
Tested1 or more goals90%
2 or more goals68%
3 or more goals41%
4 or more goals21%
5 or more goals9%
Exactly
0 goals10%
1 goal21%
2 goals27%
3 goals20%
4 goals12%
5 goals6%
6 or more goals3%
Goals by team
TestedLiechtenstein: 1 or more65%
Liechtenstein: 2 or more28%
Liechtenstein: 3 or more9%
Gibraltar: 1 or more72%
Gibraltar: 2 or more37%
Gibraltar: 3 or more14%
Both teams score48%
At least one team does not score52%
Winning margin
TestedLiechtenstein by 3 or more3%
Liechtenstein by 28%
Liechtenstein by 118%
Draw30%
Gibraltar by 122%
Gibraltar by 212%
Gibraltar by 3 or more7%
Result combinations
TestedLiechtenstein win or draw59%
Either team wins (no draw)70%
Gibraltar win or draw71%
Clean sheets
TestedLiechtenstein keep a clean sheet28%
Gibraltar keep a clean sheet35%
Liechtenstein win without conceding17%
Gibraltar win without conceding24%
No goals at all10%
The first goal
Model estimateLiechtenstein score first40%
Gibraltar score first49%
No goals10%
When it comes
Minutes 1-1528%
Minutes 16-3020%
Minutes 31-45+16%
Minutes 46-6011%
Minutes 61-757%
Minutes 76-90+6%
Every score
TestedChance of each score in percent: Liechtenstein goals down, Gibraltar goals across.
| Home goals down, away goals across | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.4 | 11.8 | 7.8 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 9.6 | 14.0 | 8.3 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 5.2 | 6.8 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | · |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | · | · | · |
Halves
Model estimateA goal in the first half65%
A goal in the second half72%
Liechtenstein ahead at half-time24%
Level at half-time45%
Gibraltar ahead at half-time31%
Liechtenstein win the second half25%
Second half level41%
Gibraltar win the second half34%
More goals in the first half29%
More goals in the second half41%
Same goals in both halves29%
Half-time and full-time
Model estimateLiechtenstein ahead at half-time, Liechtenstein win17%
Level at half-time, Liechtenstein win11%
Gibraltar ahead at half-time, Liechtenstein win2%
Liechtenstein ahead at half-time, draw5%
Level at half-time, draw20%
Gibraltar ahead at half-time, draw5%
Liechtenstein ahead at half-time, Gibraltar win2%
Level at half-time, Gibraltar win15%
Gibraltar ahead at half-time, Gibraltar win24%
When the goals come
Model estimateExpected goals in each 15 minutes.
1-15'
16-30'
31-45+'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
LiechtensteinGibraltar
Tested: checked on past matches at this level of detail. Tested in aggregate: checked on a coarser measure. Model estimate: not checked on real data yet. How Vesta works