Manchester United v Tottenham

Each player's chance to score and to assist, from Vesta's expected goals for his team, his expected goals and goals per 90 minutes, and the minutes he is likely to play (the likely line-ups above).

Manchester United

• Bryan MbeumoRight winger, started 5 of the last 535%to score
• Bruno FernandesAttacking midfielder, started 5 of the last 531%to score
• Marcus RashfordLeft winger, started 4 of the last 527%to score
• Matheus CunhaForward, started 5 of the last 526%to score

Most likely to assist: Bruno Fernandes 35%, Marcus Rashford 16%

Tottenham

• Omar MarmoushForward, started 4 of the last 518%to score
• Dominic SolankeForward, started 2 of the last 59%to score
• SávioRight winger, started 3 of the last 58%to score
• Mathys TelLeft winger, started 3 of the last 57%to score

Most likely to assist: Omar Marmoush 9%, Sandro Tonali 7%

What each side should make in this match, forecast by Vesta from both teams' recent numbers and the match forecast.

The chance of each team finishing first, in the top four or in the bottom three: today, and in the simulated seasons where this match ends in each result.

Everyone likely to play, by chance to score. Minutes: what we expect him to play; shots: how many he should take.

Manchester United

Manchester United: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Bryan Mbeumo	90	35%	7%	13%	44%	2.7
Bruno Fernandes	90	31%	5%	35%	55%	2.8
Marcus Rashford	72	27%	4%	16%	38%	2.9
Matheus Cunha	83	26%	4%	12%	34%	3.1
Benjamin Sesko bench	13	10%	<1%	<1%	10%	0.5
Patrick Dorgu bench	34	8%	<1%	7%	14%	0.7
Youri Tielemans	82	8%	<1%	11%	18%	1.3
Harry Maguire	90	6%	<1%	6%	11%	0.9
Kobbie Mainoo	72	5%	<1%	7%	12%	0.9
Diogo Dalot	70	5%	<1%	8%	12%	0.8
Andrey Santos bench	16	3%	<1%	1%	4%	0.2
Lisandro Martínez	72	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.6
Luke Shaw	68	2%	<1%	4%	6%	0.3
Ayden Heaven bench	18	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Noussair Mazraoui bench	20	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.1
Senne Lammens	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0

Tottenham

Tottenham: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Omar Marmoush	69	18%	2%	9%	26%	1.7
Dominic Solanke bench	36	9%	<1%	2%	10%	0.6
Sávio	48	8%	<1%	5%	13%	0.7
Mathys Tel	52	7%	<1%	6%	12%	0.9
Jan Paul van Hecke	90	7%	<1%	3%	10%	0.5
Richarlison bench	14	5%	<1%	2%	6%	0.3
Micky van de Ven	72	5%	<1%	2%	6%	0.3
Archie Gray	63	4%	<1%	4%	8%	0.3
Andrew Robertson	73	4%	<1%	6%	9%	0.4
Rodrigo Bentancur	76	4%	<1%	3%	6%	0.4
Sandro Tonali	87	4%	<1%	7%	10%	0.9
Conor Gallagher bench	27	3%	<1%	1%	5%	0.3
Mateus Fernandes	51	3%	<1%	4%	7%	0.4
Mikey Moore bench	18	3%	<1%	2%	5%	0.3
Mohammed Kudus bench	22	2%	<1%	3%	5%	0.3
Pedro Porro bench	40	2%	<1%	3%	5%	0.4
James Maddison bench	10	2%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Lucas Bergvall bench	15	1%	<1%	1%	3%	0.1
Marcos Senesi bench	18	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Iyenoma Destiny Udogie bench	17	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.0
Antonín Kinsky	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0