Watford

• 94thof 98 teams of the five leagues by Vesta’s strength ratingRating before its last match
• 9matches without a win, running now
• 29%of the team's league goals scored by Emmanuel Dennis10 of 34 in 2021-22
• 25%of matches won since 2006-07266 matches in the five leagues
• 5–1Biggest win since 2006-07: Cardiff 1–5 WatfordFri 22 Feb 2019
• 0–8Heaviest defeat: Manchester City 8–0 WatfordSat 21 Sep 2019

• 57%of Watford's matches won by Vesta's favourite53% expected
• 18wins in 42 matches as Vesta's favourite19 expected
• 7%won with 7%: Watford 3–0 LiverpoolSat 29 Feb 2020
• 16%won with 16%: Watford 4–1 Manchester UnitedSat 20 Nov 2021
• 16%won with 16%: Wolverhampton Wanderers 0–2 WatfordSat 20 Oct 2018
• 54%lost at 54%: Watford 1–2 SwanseaSat 30 Dec 2017
• 53%lost at 53%: Watford 1–4 HuddersfieldSat 16 Dec 2017
• 53%lost at 53%: Watford 0–3 NorwichFri 21 Jan 2022

Vesta's forecasts reconstructed with each season hidden (how).

• 1point won in the last five minutes and stoppage time17th most in the league; 7 goals scored from the 86th minute on
• 4points thrown away in the last five minutes and stoppage timeJoint 6th most in the league; 12 goals conceded from the 86th minute on
• 5points won after going behindBehind at some point in 30 matches; joint 17th most in the league
• 12points dropped after going aheadAhead at some point in 10 matches; 12th most in the league

Goal minutes. Quarters of an hour by the minute of the match reports; stoppage time counts in the last quarter of each half.

Vesta's rating before every match since 2014-15. 1,500 is an average team of these leagues.