Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest

Each player's chance to score and to assist, from Vesta's expected goals for his team, his expected goals and goals per 90 minutes, and the minutes he is likely to play (the likely line-ups above).

Crystal Palace

• Jørgen Strand LarsenForward, started 3 of the last 519%to score
• Eddie NketiahAttacking midfielder, started 3 of the last 515%to score
• Anan KhalailiRight wing-back, started 4 of the last 513%to score
• Yeremi PinoAttacking midfielder, started 4 of the last 512%to score

Most likely to assist: Adam Wharton 17%, Yeremi Pino 16%

Nottingham Forest

• Morgan Gibbs-WhiteAttacking midfielder, started 5 of the last 525%to score
• Liam DelapForward, started 3 of the last 518%to score
• Igor JesusForward, started 2 of the last 515%to score
• Dan NdoyeAttacking midfielder, started 5 of the last 510%to score

Most likely to assist: James McAtee 15%, Morgan Gibbs-White 13%

What each side should make in this match, forecast by Vesta from both teams' recent numbers and the match forecast.

The chance of each team finishing first, in the top four or in the bottom three: today, and in the simulated seasons where this match ends in each result.

Everyone likely to play, by chance to score. Minutes: what we expect him to play; shots: how many he should take.

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Jørgen Strand Larsen	60	19%	2%	3%	22%	1.6
Eddie Nketiah bench	37	15%	1%	10%	23%	1.2
Anan Khalaili	75	13%	<1%	5%	17%	1.1
Yeremi Pino	62	12%	<1%	16%	27%	1.6
Jean-Philippe Mateta bench	13	11%	<1%	<1%	11%	0.5
Daichi Kamada	90	9%	<1%	12%	20%	1.3
Tyrick Mitchell	86	8%	<1%	7%	15%	0.7
Adam Wharton	88	6%	<1%	17%	23%	1.4
Quinten Timber	52	6%	<1%	3%	9%	0.8
Chris Richards	90	6%	<1%	2%	7%	0.6
Jaydee Canvot	72	6%	<1%	1%	7%	0.5
Dwight McNeil bench	18	2%	<1%	2%	5%	0.4
Honest Ahanor bench	18	2%	<1%	<1%	3%	0.2
Takehiro Tomiyasu	38	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Evann Guessand bench	10	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Axel Disasi bench	28	2%	<1%	<1%	3%	0.2
Daniel Muñoz bench	12	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Jefferson Lerma bench	9	1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Chadi Riad bench	15	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Walter Benítez bench	36	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Dean Henderson	54	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Morgan Gibbs-White	90	25%	4%	13%	35%	2.0
Liam Delap	55	18%	2%	4%	21%	1.7
Igor Jesus bench	50	15%	1%	5%	19%	1.3
Dan Ndoye	66	10%	<1%	9%	18%	1.0
Xaver Schlager	75	8%	<1%	6%	14%	0.9
James McAtee	85	8%	<1%	15%	21%	1.4
Neco Williams	90	5%	<1%	9%	13%	1.1
Daniel Muñoz bench	41	5%	<1%	6%	10%	0.4
Chris Wood bench	12	4%	<1%	<1%	5%	0.3
Murillo	90	3%	<1%	3%	6%	0.5
Jair	72	3%	<1%	2%	5%	0.4
Ibrahim Sangare bench	20	2%	<1%	2%	3%	0.2
Ousmane Diomande bench	33	2%	<1%	2%	3%	0.2
Ola Aina	63	2%	<1%	2%	3%	0.4
Nikola Milenkovic	54	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.2
Matz Sels	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0