Matches 2026-2743 starts
Minutes276
Goals1
Assists0
Next match
Model estimate
Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest
To score18%
To assist4%
Goal or assist21%
Shots1.7expected, in 55 minutes
In our likely line-up (started 3 of the team's last 5). From Vesta's expected goals for the team, his expected goals and goals per 90 minutes and the minutes he is likely to play.
Chances
2026-27, total and per 90 minutesExpected goals1.10.37 per 90
Expected assists0.70.22 per 90
Shots123.91 per 90
Key passes61.96 per 90
Against the peers
2026-27, per 90 minutesAmong the 41 forwards of the Premier League with 270 minutes or more. The bar is the percentile: 90 means better than 9 in 10 of them.
Per 90Percentile
Goals0.3365
Expected goals0.3765
Shots3.9198
Assists0.030
Expected assists0.2265
Key passes1.9682
Season projection
Model estimateGoals at the end61 now; 8 in 10 between 3 and 9
Assists at the end10 now; 8 in 10 between 0 and 2
Top scorer–in the Premier League
Most assists–
Every remaining Premier League match simulated with Vesta; the team's goals shared among its players by their recent part in its attack. The whole race
In numbers
Top five leagues since 2020-21- 14league goals in 71 matches
- 12goals in 2024-25, the best season
- 31stin the Premier League scoring chart of 2026-27
- 23rdtop scorer of Nottingham Forest since 2014-15
- 2matches in a row with a goal, the longest run
Last matches
| Date | Match | Min | G | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 19 Sep | Nottingham Forest 0–1 Coventry | 90 | ||
| Sat 12 Sep | Aston Villa 1–2 Nottingham Forest | 90 | 1 | |
| Sat 5 Sep | Nottingham Forest 0–0 Tottenham | 75 | ||
| Sat 29 Aug | Liverpool 2–2 Nottingham Forest | 21* | ||
| Sun 24 May | Sunderland 2–1 Chelsea | 2* | ||
| Tue 19 May | Chelsea 2–1 Tottenham | 90 | ||
| Mon 4 May | Chelsea 1–3 Nottingham Forest | 37* | ||
| Tue 21 Apr | Brighton 3–0 Chelsea | 73 | ||
| Sat 18 Apr | Chelsea 0–1 Manchester United | 90 | ||
| Sun 12 Apr | Chelsea 0–3 Manchester City | 7* | ||
| Sat 21 Mar | Everton 3–0 Chelsea | 10* | ||
| Sat 14 Mar | Chelsea 0–1 Newcastle United | 40* | ||
| Wed 4 Mar | Aston Villa 1–4 Chelsea | 1* | ||
| Sun 1 Mar | Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea | 1* | ||
| Sat 21 Feb | Chelsea 1–1 Burnley | 8* | ||
| Tue 10 Feb | Chelsea 2–2 Leeds | 8* | ||
| Sat 7 Feb | Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–3 Chelsea | 9* | ||
| Sat 31 Jan | Chelsea 3–2 West Ham | 90 | ||
| Sun 25 Jan | Crystal Palace 1–3 Chelsea | 3* | ||
| Sat 17 Jan | Chelsea 2–0 Brentford | 13* |
* came on as a substitute.