Hull v Everton

Each player's chance to score and to assist, from Vesta's expected goals for his team, his expected goals and goals per 90 minutes, and the minutes he is likely to play (the likely line-ups above).

Hull

• Oliver McBurnieForward, started 5 of the last 526%to score
• Mohamed BelloumiRight midfielder, started 5 of the last 516%to score
• Semi AjayiCentre-back, started 5 of the last 510%to score
• Regan SlaterMidfielder, started 5 of the last 58%to score

Most likely to assist: Regan Slater 12%, Mohamed Belloumi 12%

Everton

• Thierno BarryForward, started 5 of the last 526%to score
• Kiernan Dewsbury-HallAttacking midfielder, started 5 of the last 512%to score
• Tyrique GeorgeLeft winger, started 4 of the last 57%to score
• Harrison ArmstrongDefensive midfielder, started 5 of the last 55%to score

Most likely to assist: Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 11%, Tyrique George 8%

What each side should make in this match, forecast by Vesta from both teams' recent numbers and the match forecast.

The chance of each team finishing first, in the top four or in the bottom three: today, and in the simulated seasons where this match ends in each result.

Everyone likely to play, by chance to score. Minutes: what we expect him to play; shots: how many he should take.

Hull

Hull: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Oliver McBurnie	89	26%	4%	10%	34%	2.1
Mohamed Belloumi	82	16%	1%	12%	26%	1.8
Semi Ajayi	85	10%	<1%	3%	13%	0.6
Regan Slater	89	8%	<1%	12%	19%	1.1
Elliot Stroud	52	6%	<1%	4%	10%	0.7
Nobel Mendy	52	6%	<1%	1%	7%	0.3
Matt Crooks	42	5%	<1%	4%	8%	0.5
Mohamed Ali-Cho bench	12	4%	<1%	2%	5%	0.3
Sorba Thomas bench	24	3%	<1%	3%	6%	0.4
Ryan John Giles	89	3%	<1%	10%	13%	0.4
John Egan	89	3%	<1%	3%	6%	0.5
Lewie Coyle	72	3%	<1%	3%	6%	0.4
Liam Millar bench	9	2%	<1%	1%	3%	0.2
Lucas Herrington bench	38	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Hidemasa Morita bench	10	1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Lucas Gourna Douath bench	26	1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.2
Tim Iroegbunam bench	12	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Cody Drameh bench	12	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.1
Brooke Norton-Cuffy bench	6	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Konstantinos Tzolakis	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0

Everton

Everton: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Thierno Barry	85	26%	4%	3%	28%	1.5
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall	90	12%	<1%	11%	22%	1.1
Tyrique George	64	7%	<1%	8%	14%	1.1
Harrison Armstrong	90	5%	<1%	7%	12%	0.7
Brennan Johnson	48	5%	<1%	3%	8%	0.5
Iliman Ndiaye bench	36	5%	<1%	4%	8%	0.4
James Tarkowski	90	5%	<1%	4%	9%	0.4
Jarrad Branthwaite	90	4%	<1%	2%	6%	0.5
James Garner	66	3%	<1%	7%	10%	0.6
Jack Grealish bench	25	3%	<1%	4%	7%	0.3
Hayden Hackney bench	27	3%	<1%	3%	6%	0.3
Merlin Röhl	51	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.4
Ainsley Maitland-Niles bench	35	2%	<1%	3%	5%	0.2
Beto bench	5	2%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Vitalii Mykolenko	90	<1%	<1%	2%	3%	0.2
Jordan Pickford	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0