Position4of 20
Points15in 7
Won, drawn, lost5-0-2
Goals18for, 8 against
FormWLWWL
Next matches
All 31Sat 10 Oct
Sun 18 Oct
TBC
Sun 25 Oct
TBC
Sun 1 Nov
TBC
Sun 8 Nov
TBC
Results
2026-27, 31 still to playSun 20 Sep
FT
Tue 15 Sep
FT
Sat 12 Sep
FT
Fri 4 Sep
FT
Sun 30 Aug
FT
Wed 26 Aug
FT
Sat 22 Aug
FT
Season projection
Model estimateMost likely finish2nd70% of simulations
Final points788 in 10 between 70 and 87
Title5%
Top 498%
Bottom 3–
Final record24-7-7Won, drawn, lost
Goals scored848 in 10 between 74 and 94
Goals conceded428 in 10 between 35 and 49
Goal difference+43
A week of matches ago: title 12%, top 4 >99%, bottom 3 –, 80 final points.
Chance of each final position, in %
51
702
193
44
15
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
Every remaining La Liga match simulated with Vesta’s strengths of today. The whole projected table
In numbers
- 5thof 96 teams of the five leagues by Vesta’s strength rating
- 3wins in a row, the longest run of 2026-27
- 39%of the team's league goals scored by Kylian Mbappe-Lottin
- 67%of matches won since 2001-02
- 10–2Biggest win since 2001-02: Real Madrid 10–2 Rayo Vallecano
- 0–5Heaviest defeat: Barcelona 5–0 Real Madrid
In Europe
146 matches in the European cups since 2014-15Won, drawn, lost93-21-32
Goals318– 170
Finals5won Champions League 2015-16, Champions League 2016-17, Champions League 2017-18, Champions League 2021-22, Champions League 2023-24
Vesta and Real Madrid
349 league matches since 2017-18- 66%of Real Madrid's matches won by Vesta's favourite
- 224wins in 328 matches as Vesta's favourite
- 27%won with 27%: Barcelona 1–2 Real Madrid
- 27%won with 27%: Sevilla 0–1 Real Madrid
- 29%won with 29%: Barcelona 1–2 Real Madrid
- 84%lost at 84%: Real Madrid 0–1 Real Betis
- 80%lost at 80%: Real Madrid 1–2 Levante
- 79%lost at 79%: Real Madrid 0–1 Villarreal
Vesta's forecasts reconstructed with each season hidden (how).
By the minute
2026-27, 7 matches| Goals | 1-15 | 16-30 | 31-45+ | 46-60 | 61-75 | 76-90+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| Against | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
- 4points won in the last five minutes and stoppage time
- 0points thrown away in the last five minutes and stoppage time
- 0points won after going behind
- 0points dropped after going ahead
Goal minutes. Quarters of an hour by the minute of the match reports; stoppage time counts in the last quarter of each half.
League position
2026-27Strength
Rating 1,690Vesta's rating before every match since 2014-15. 1,500 is an average team of these leagues.
Squad
Players used in 2026-27| Player | Apps | Min | G | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thibaut CourtoisGoalkeeper | 7 | 630 | 0 | 0 |
| Kylian Mbappe-LottinForward | 7 | 630 | 7 | 2 |
| Federico ValverdeDefensive midfielder | 7 | 577 | 0 | 1 |
| Vinícius JúniorForward | 7 | 572 | 1 | 3 |
| Ibrahima KonatéCentre-back | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 |
| Jude BellinghamAttacking midfielder | 7 | 537 | 3 | 2 |
| Dean HuijsenCentre-back | 6 | 504 | 0 | 0 |
| Marc CucurellaLeft-back | 7 | 426 | 0 | 0 |
| Denzel DumfriesRight wing-back | 6 | 424 | 0 | 0 |
| Arda GülerMidfielder | 7 | 359 | 1 | 2 |
| Bernardo SilvaMidfielder | 6 | 279 | 0 | 1 |
| Yan DiomandeForward | 7 | 268 | 0 | 1 |
| Eduardo CamavingaMidfielder | 6 | 235 | 0 | 0 |
| Antonio RüdigerCentre-back | 3 | 214 | 1 | 0 |
| Trent Alexander-ArnoldRight-back | 4 | 206 | 0 | 1 |
| Álvaro FernándezLeft-back | 4 | 206 | 1 | 0 |
| Aurelien TchouameniMidfielder | 3 | 179 | 0 | 0 |
| Brahim DiazRight winger | 3 | 98 | 0 | 0 |
| Carlos EspíForward | 4 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| EndrickForward | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |

