Atalanta v Venezia

Each player's chance to score and to assist, from Vesta's expected goals for his team, his expected goals and goals per 90 minutes, and the minutes he is likely to play (the likely line-ups above).

Atalanta

• Gianluca ScamaccaForward, started 4 of the last 532%to score
• Nikola KrstovicForward, started 1 of the last 528%to score
• Charles De KetelaereForward, started 4 of the last 518%to score
• ÉdersonMidfielder, started 5 of the last 517%to score

Most likely to assist: Charles De Ketelaere 28%, Mario Pasalic 11%

Venezia

• Akor AdamsForward, started 5 of the last 521%to score
• John YeboahForward, started 4 of the last 520%to score
• Antoine HainautRight wing-back, started 5 of the last 57%to score
• Gianluca BusioMidfielder, started 4 of the last 55%to score

Most likely to assist: Antoine Hainaut 10%, John Yeboah 8%

What each side should make in this match, forecast by Vesta from both teams' recent numbers and the match forecast.

The chance of each team finishing first, in the top four or in the bottom three: today, and in the simulated seasons where this match ends in each result.

Everyone likely to play, by chance to score. Minutes: what we expect him to play; shots: how many he should take.

Atalanta

Atalanta: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Gianluca Scamacca	53	32%	6%	7%	37%	2.5
Nikola Krstovic bench	37	28%	4%	9%	34%	2.3
Charles De Ketelaere	71	18%	2%	28%	41%	1.8
Éderson	84	17%	2%	9%	25%	1.6
Giacomo Raspadori bench	36	17%	2%	8%	24%	1.6
Giorgio Scalvini	90	15%	1%	7%	21%	1.0
Lazar Samardzic	52	14%	1%	11%	24%	1.6
Jonathan Rowe bench	35	13%	<1%	6%	19%	1.4
Franck Kessié bench	34	8%	<1%	5%	13%	0.7
Gianluca Gaetano	57	7%	<1%	11%	17%	1.2
Mario Pasalic bench	35	7%	<1%	11%	17%	0.6
Nicola Zalewski bench	24	6%	<1%	7%	13%	0.7
Eljif Elmas bench	22	6%	<1%	4%	9%	0.5
Davide Zappacosta	39	5%	<1%	7%	12%	0.6
Odilon Kossounou	72	4%	<1%	3%	7%	0.5
Raoul Bellanova	56	2%	<1%	7%	9%	0.6
Thomas Thiesson Kristensen bench	18	2%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Lorenzo Bernasconi bench	37	1%	<1%	7%	9%	0.3
Sead Kolasinac	48	1%	<1%	1%	3%	0.2
Marco Carnesecchi	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0

Venezia

Venezia: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Akor Adams	83	21%	2%	4%	24%	1.6
John Yeboah	76	20%	2%	8%	27%	1.4
Antoine Hainaut	89	7%	<1%	10%	16%	0.5
Gianluca Busio	63	5%	<1%	7%	12%	0.6
Kike Pérez	85	5%	<1%	8%	12%	0.5
Albion Rrahmani bench	15	4%	<1%	1%	5%	0.3
Richie Sagrado bench	33	4%	<1%	1%	5%	0.2
Ridgeciano Haps	52	3%	<1%	4%	7%	0.2
Toni Fernández bench	10	2%	<1%	<1%	3%	0.1
Thórir Helgason bench	24	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.3
Simon Sohm	49	2%	<1%	3%	5%	0.3
Joël Schingtienne	90	2%	<1%	3%	4%	0.2
Toma Basic bench	31	2%	<1%	3%	5%	0.3
Bartol Franjic bench	27	2%	<1%	1%	3%	0.1
Matías Moreno bench	34	1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Thierry Correia	36	<1%	<1%	2%	3%	0.1
Redouane Halal bench	27	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Armel Bella Kotchap	39	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.1
Lion Lauberbach bench	6	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.1
Juan Jesus bench	22	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Filip Stankovic	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0