Matches 2026-2743 starts
Minutes279
Goals0
Assists0
Next match
Model estimate
Mainz 05 v 
Bayer Leverkusen
To score9%
To assist3%
Goal or assist12%
Shots0.7expected, in 74 minutes
In our likely line-up (started 4 of the team's last 5). From Vesta's expected goals for the team, his expected goals and goals per 90 minutes and the minutes he is likely to play.
Chances
2026-27, total and per 90 minutesExpected goals0.50.17 per 90
Expected assists0.10.04 per 90
Shots30.97 per 90
Key passes10.32 per 90
Against the peers
2026-27, per 90 minutesAmong the 64 defenders of the Bundesliga with 270 minutes or more. The bar is the percentile: 90 means better than 9 in 10 of them.
Per 90Percentile
Goals0.040
Expected goals0.1779
Shots0.9765
Assists0.034
Expected assists0.0446
Key passes0.3240
Season projection
Model estimateGoals at the end40 now; 8 in 10 between 1 and 6
Assists at the end10 now; 8 in 10 between 0 and 3
Top scorer–in the Bundesliga
Most assists–
Every remaining Bundesliga match simulated with Vesta; the team's goals shared among its players by their recent part in its attack. The whole race
In numbers
Top five leagues since 2025-26- 1league goals in 19 matches
- 1goals in 2025-26, the best season
- 94thtop scorer of Mainz 05 in the seasons with complete player data
Last matches
| Date | Match | Min | G | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 19 Sep | Borussia M.Gladbach 3–4 Mainz 05 | 90 | ||
| Sat 12 Sep | Mainz 05 1–3 Eintracht Frankfurt | 90 | ||
| Sun 6 Sep | Hamburger SV 0–5 Mainz 05 | 90 | ||
| Sat 29 Aug | Mainz 05 0–0 Paderborn | 9* | ||
| Sat 16 May | FC Heidenheim 0–2 Mainz 05 | 90 | ||
| Sun 10 May | Mainz 05 1–3 Union Berlin | 75* | ||
| Sun 3 May | St. Pauli 1–2 Mainz 05 | 78 | ||
| Sat 4 Apr | Hoffenheim 1–2 Mainz 05 | 54* | ||
| Sun 15 Mar | Werder Bremen 0–2 Mainz 05 | 7* | ||
| Sat 28 Feb | Bayer Leverkusen 1–1 Mainz 05 | 90 | ||
| Fri 20 Feb | Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV | 90 | ||
| Fri 13 Feb | Borussia Dortmund 4–0 Mainz 05 | 64* | ||
| Sat 7 Feb | Mainz 05 2–0 Augsburg | 6* | ||
| Sat 31 Jan | RasenBallsport Leipzig 1–2 Mainz 05 | 90 | ||
| Sat 17 Jan | FC Cologne 2–1 Mainz 05 | 90 | ||
| Tue 13 Jan | Mainz 05 2–1 FC Heidenheim | 57* | ||
| Sun 21 Dec 2025 | Mainz 05 0–0 St. Pauli | 90 | ||
| Sun 14 Dec 2025 | Bayern Munich 2–2 Mainz 05 | 90 | 1 | |
| Sun 30 Nov 2025 | Freiburg 4–0 Mainz 05 | 90 |
* came on as a substitute.