Matches 2026-2766 starts
Minutes492
Goals4
Assists0
Next match
Model estimate
Alaves v 
Atletico Madrid
To score29%
To assist8%
Goal or assist35%
Shots2.0expected, in 85 minutes
In our likely line-up (started 5 of the team's last 5). From Vesta's expected goals for the team, his expected goals and goals per 90 minutes and the minutes he is likely to play.
Chances
2026-27, total and per 90 minutesExpected goals1.70.31 per 90
Expected assists0.60.11 per 90
Shots162.93 per 90
Key passes40.73 per 90
Against the peers
2026-27, per 90 minutesAmong the 47 forwards of La Liga with 270 minutes or more. The bar is the percentile: 90 means better than 9 in 10 of them.
Per 90Percentile
Goals0.7378
Expected goals0.3141
Shots2.9374
Assists0.026
Expected assists0.1146
Key passes0.7335
Season projection
Model estimateGoals at the end154 now; 8 in 10 between 11 and 19
Assists at the end30 now; 8 in 10 between 1 and 5
Top scorer–in La Liga
Most assists–
Every remaining La Liga match simulated with Vesta; the team's goals shared among its players by their recent part in its attack. The whole race
In numbers
Top five leagues since 2016-17- 43league goals in 213 matches
- 11goals in 2025-26, the best season
- 10thin La Liga scoring chart of 2026-27
- 4thtop scorer of Alaves in the seasons with complete player data
- 4matches in a row with a goal, the longest run
Last matches
| Date | Match | Min | G | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 19 Sep | Athletic Club 0–0 Alaves | 75 | ||
| Tue 15 Sep | Alaves 0–1 Valencia | 90 | ||
| Sat 12 Sep | Racing Santander 2–1 Alaves | 90 | ||
| Sun 6 Sep | Alaves 5–2 Osasuna | 89 | 3 | |
| Fri 28 Aug | Alaves 1–0 Villarreal | 83 | 1 | |
| Thu 20 Aug | Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Alaves | 65 | ||
| Sat 23 May | Alaves 1–2 Rayo Vallecano | 88 | ||
| Sun 17 May | Real Oviedo 0–1 Alaves | 7* | ||
| Sat 25 Apr | Alaves 2–1 Mallorca | 3 | ||
| Tue 21 Apr | Real Madrid 2–1 Alaves | 72 | ||
| Sat 11 Apr | Real Sociedad 3–3 Alaves | 26* | 1 | |
| Sun 5 Apr | Alaves 2–2 Osasuna | 7* | 1 | |
| Sun 22 Mar | Celta Vigo 3–4 Alaves | 49 | ||
| Fri 13 Mar | Alaves 1–1 Villarreal | 90 | ||
| Sun 8 Mar | Valencia 3–2 Alaves | 90 | 2 | |
| Fri 27 Feb | Levante 2–0 Alaves | 90 | ||
| Mon 23 Feb | Alaves 2–2 Girona | 90 | 2 | |
| Sat 14 Feb | Sevilla 1–1 Alaves | 90 | ||
| Sun 8 Feb | Alaves 0–2 Getafe | 90 | ||
| Fri 30 Jan | Espanyol 1–2 Alaves | 90 | 1 |
* came on as a substitute.