Position2of 20
Points16in 7
Won, drawn, lost5-1-1
Goals16for, 7 against
FormWLWWW
Next matches
All 31Sat 10 Oct
Sat 17 Oct
Sun 25 Oct
TBC
Sun 1 Nov
TBC
Sun 8 Nov
TBC
Results
2026-27, 31 still to playSun 20 Sep
FT
Wed 16 Sep
FT
Sun 13 Sep
FT
Sat 5 Sep
FT
Sat 29 Aug
FT
Sun 23 Aug
FT
Wed 19 Aug
FT
Season projection
Model estimateMost likely finish3rd50% of simulations
Final points718 in 10 between 62 and 80
Title<1%
Top 488%
Bottom 3–
Final record21-9-9Won, drawn, lost
Goals scored728 in 10 between 63 and 81
Goals conceded448 in 10 between 37 and 52
Goal difference+27
A week of matches ago: title <1%, top 4 58%, bottom 3 <1%, 62 final points.
Chance of each final position, in %
1
192
503
184
75
36
17
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
Every remaining La Liga match simulated with Vesta’s strengths of today. The whole projected table
In numbers
- 12thof 96 teams of the five leagues by Vesta’s strength rating
- 3wins in a row, running now
- 3wins in a row, the longest run of 2026-27
- 2clean sheets in a row, the longest of 2026-27
- 25%of the team's league goals scored by Álex Baena
- 53%of matches won since 2002-03
- 7–0Biggest win since 2002-03: Rayo Vallecano 0–7 Atletico Madrid
- 0–6Heaviest defeat: Atletico Madrid 0–6 Barcelona
In Europe
128 matches in the European cups since 2014-15Won, drawn, lost63-28-37
Goals198– 135
Finals2won Europa League 2017-18
Vesta and Atletico Madrid
349 league matches since 2017-18- 62%of Atletico Madrid's matches won by Vesta's favourite
- 197wins in 308 matches as Vesta's favourite
- 23%won with 23%: Barcelona 1–2 Atletico Madrid
- 28%won with 28%: Atletico Madrid 2–1 Real Madrid
- 31%won with 31%: Athletic Club 0–1 Atletico Madrid
- 72%lost at 72%: Atletico Madrid 0–1 Levante
- 71%lost at 71%: Atletico Madrid 1–4 Osasuna
- 70%lost at 70%: Atletico Madrid 0–2 Espanyol
Vesta's forecasts reconstructed with each season hidden (how).
By the minute
2026-27, 7 matches| Goals | 1-15 | 16-30 | 31-45+ | 46-60 | 61-75 | 76-90+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Against | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
- 0points won in the last five minutes and stoppage time
- 0points thrown away in the last five minutes and stoppage time
- 1point won after going behind
- 2points dropped after going ahead
Goal minutes. Quarters of an hour by the minute of the match reports; stoppage time counts in the last quarter of each half.
League position
2026-27Strength
Rating 1,609Vesta's rating before every match since 2014-15. 1,500 is an average team of these leagues.
Squad
Players used in 2026-27| Player | Apps | Min | G | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan OblakGoalkeeper | 7 | 630 | 0 | 0 |
| David HanckoCentre-back | 7 | 544 | 0 | 2 |
| Álex GrimaldoLeft wing-back | 6 | 536 | 2 | 1 |
| Lee Kang-InMidfielder | 7 | 482 | 2 | 1 |
| Ademola LookmanForward | 7 | 477 | 1 | 0 |
| Giuliano SimeoneRight midfielder | 7 | 474 | 2 | 2 |
| Marcos LlorenteRight-back | 7 | 461 | 0 | 1 |
| Álex BaenaLeft midfielder | 7 | 457 | 4 | 1 |
| Marc PubillCentre-back | 6 | 410 | 1 | 0 |
| KokeMidfielder | 7 | 353 | 0 | 0 |
| Morten HjulmandMidfielder | 7 | 347 | 0 | 0 |
| Pablo Barrios RivasMidfielder | 4 | 289 | 0 | 1 |
| Cristian RomeroCentre-back | 4 | 275 | 0 | 0 |
| Robin Le NormandCentre-back | 4 | 262 | 1 | 0 |
| Johnny CardosoDefensive midfielder | 5 | 217 | 0 | 1 |
| Jonathan Christian DavidForward | 3 | 163 | 3 | 1 |
| Arnau OrtizLeft midfielder | 5 | 139 | 0 | 0 |
| Rodrigo MendozaMidfielder | 3 | 113 | 0 | 0 |
| Dani MartinezCentre-back | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Julián ÁlvarezForward | 3 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| Carlos MartínLeft winger | 1 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| Jorge DomínguezRight-back | 1 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| GiménezCentre-back | 2 | 24 | 0 | 0 |

