Matches 2026-2744 starts
Minutes360
Goals4
Assists0
Next match
Model estimate
Mainz 05 v 
Bayer Leverkusen
To score35%
To assist9%
Goal or assist41%
Shots2.2expected, in 89 minutes
In our likely line-up (started 5 of the team's last 5). From Vesta's expected goals for the team, his expected goals and goals per 90 minutes and the minutes he is likely to play.
Chances
2026-27, total and per 90 minutesExpected goals3.00.76 per 90
Expected assists0.60.14 per 90
Shots164.00 per 90
Key passes41.00 per 90
Against the peers
2026-27, per 90 minutesAmong the 21 forwards of the Bundesliga with 270 minutes or more. The bar is the percentile: 90 means better than 9 in 10 of them.
Per 90Percentile
Goals1.090
Expected goals0.7695
Shots4.080
Assists0.018
Expected assists0.1425
Key passes1.020
Season projection
Model estimateGoals at the end164 now; 8 in 10 between 12 and 21
Assists at the end30 now; 8 in 10 between 1 and 5
Top scorer<1%in the Bundesliga
Most assists–
Every remaining Bundesliga match simulated with Vesta; the team's goals shared among its players by their recent part in its attack. The whole race
In numbers
Top five leagues since 2023-24- 25league goals in 101 matches
- 8goals in 2023-24, the best season
- 1stin the Bundesliga scoring chart of 2026-27
- 28thtop scorer of Mainz 05 in the seasons with complete player data
- 3matches in a row with a goal, the longest run
Last matches
| Date | Match | Min | G | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 19 Sep | Borussia M.Gladbach 3–4 Mainz 05 | 90 | 1 | |
| Sat 12 Sep | Mainz 05 1–3 Eintracht Frankfurt | 90 | 1 | |
| Sun 6 Sep | Hamburger SV 0–5 Mainz 05 | 90 | 2 | |
| Sat 29 Aug | Mainz 05 0–0 Paderborn | 90 | ||
| Sat 16 May | FC Heidenheim 0–2 Mainz 05 | 87 | 1 | 1 |
| Sun 10 May | Mainz 05 1–3 Union Berlin | 90 | ||
| Sun 3 May | St. Pauli 1–2 Mainz 05 | 86 | 1 | |
| Sat 25 Apr | Mainz 05 3–4 Bayern Munich | 90 | ||
| Sun 19 Apr | Borussia M.Gladbach 1–1 Mainz 05 | 90 | ||
| Sun 12 Apr | Mainz 05 0–1 Freiburg | 90 | ||
| Sat 4 Apr | Hoffenheim 1–2 Mainz 05 | 90 | 2 | |
| Sun 22 Mar | Mainz 05 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt | 72 | ||
| Sun 15 Mar | Werder Bremen 0–2 Mainz 05 | 74 | ||
| Sat 7 Mar | Mainz 05 2–2 VfB Stuttgart | 90 | ||
| Sat 28 Feb | Bayer Leverkusen 1–1 Mainz 05 | 90 | ||
| Fri 20 Feb | Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV | 90 | ||
| Fri 13 Feb | Borussia Dortmund 4–0 Mainz 05 | 78 | ||
| Sat 7 Feb | Mainz 05 2–0 Augsburg | 90 | ||
| Sat 31 Jan | RasenBallsport Leipzig 1–2 Mainz 05 | 88 | ||
| Sat 24 Jan | Mainz 05 3–1 Wolfsburg | 90 | 1 |
* came on as a substitute.