Premier League

• 0–3Biggest win: Brighton 0–3 Manchester UnitedSun 24 May 2026
• 158Biggest upset: Aston Villa beat Manchester City, a side Vesta rated 158 points strongerManchester City 1–2 Aston Villa, Sun 24 May 2026
• 2goals: Ollie WatkinsManchester City 1–2 Aston Villa

• Biggest winArsenal 5–0 LeedsSat 23 Aug
• Most goals in a matchFulham 4–5 Manchester CityTue 2 Dec

• 73%of the teams ahead at half-time won the match172 of 236; 23 matches turned round
• 13points won after trailing at half-time: Aston Villa and 1 other, level for the mostBehind at the break 12 times
• 18points dropped after leading at half-time: Manchester City, the mostAhead at the break 24 times
• 0–2at half-time, 3–2 at the end: Chelsea v West Ham, the biggest turnaroundSat 31 Jan 2026

• 49%of the matches won by Vesta's favourite51% expected from its own percentages
• 52%Arsenal, the most predictable teamAverage chance Vesta gave to the result of its matches; then Burnley and Manchester City
• 35%Bournemouth, the least predictableThen Sunderland and Manchester United
• 12%Crystal Palace 2–3 BurnleyBurnley won with 12%; Crystal Palace was the favourite at 69%. Wed 11 Feb 2026
• 13%Liverpool 0–3 Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest won with 13%; Liverpool was the favourite at 68%. Sat 22 Nov 2025
• 13%Wolverhampton Wanderers 2–1 LiverpoolWolverhampton Wanderers won with 13%; Liverpool was the favourite at 66%. Tue 3 Mar 2026
• 13%Arsenal 1–2 BournemouthBournemouth won with 13%; Arsenal was the favourite at 66%. Sat 11 Apr 2026

Vesta's forecasts reconstructed with the season hidden (how); the published ones are in the Track record.

• 15%of the goals in the last five minutes and stoppage time154 goals, 104 of them in stoppage time
• 65%of the teams that scored first won the match230 of 353; 77 drew, 46 lost
• 8points won in the last five minutes: Liverpool and 1 other, level for the most13 goals scored from the 86th minute on
• 9points thrown away in the last five minutes: Leeds, the most14 goals conceded from the 86th minute on
• 23points won after going behind: Aston Villa, the mostBehind at some point in 20 matches
• 27points dropped after going ahead: Newcastle United, the mostAhead at some point in 24 matches
• 1'the fastest goal, with 4 others in the same minute: Phil Foden, Manchester CityManchester City 3–2 Leeds, Sat 29 Nov 2025
• 90+12'the latest winning goal: Harvey Barnes, Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United 4–3 Leeds, Wed 7 Jan 2026

Goal minutes known. Minutes as the match reports write them; a winning goal is the one past the loser's final total (the second of a 3–1).

• 24.6years: Chelsea, the youngest of the 10 teams with enough birth datesAverage age, weighted by minutes played
• 28.5years: Aston Villa, the oldest of the 10 teams with enough birth datesAverage age, weighted by minutes played
• 16years and 73 days: Max Dowman, the youngest scorer with a known birth dateSat 14 Mar 2026
• 39years: James Milner, the oldest scorer with a known birth dateSun 31 Aug 2025
• 27%of the minutes played by players from England53 nationalities; fewest: Liverpool (7%), most: Newcastle United (56%)

Birth dates and citizenships of the players known with certainty: 69% of the minutes played. A player can hold more than one citizenship. Team ages only where at least 75% of the minutes are covered (10 of 20 teams).

• 15.7Most shots per match: Manchester Unitedshots a match, 38 matches
• 36%Most accurate shooting: Manchester United216 of 596 shots on target
• 14%Best conversion: Brentford55 goals from 406 shots
• 6.5Most corners per match: Manchester Citycorners a match, 38 matches
• 13.0Most fouls per match: Wolverhampton Wanderersfouls a match, 38 matches
• 2.7Most cards per match: Tottenham101 yellow and 3 red in 38 matches
• 1.3Fewest cards per match: Arsenal51 yellow and 0 red in 38 matches

Match statistics of the season, match by match.

• Most chances createdManchester City2.09 xG per match
• Fewest chances concededArsenal0.87 xG against per match
• Sharpest finishingTottenham48 goals from 46.8 xG
• Least clinicalCrystal Palace41 goals from 62.5 xG
• Most goals preventedNottingham Forest51 conceded from 64.7 xG