Serie A
Italy · 2026-27 · 20 clubs
Table
Inter lead by 2 points
Inter7610+1219
2
Roma7520+1317
3
Lazio6510+716
4
Como7421+514
5
Frosinone7412+413
6
Cagliari6411+313
7
AC Milan6330+612
8
Juventus6321+411
9
Napoli7313+310
10
Atalanta630309
11
Lecce7304−39
12
Sassuolo7223−28
13
Torino6213−27
14
Bologna7124−45
15
Monza6114−64
16
Parma6114−64
17
Udinese7115−74
18
Genoa7115−84
19
Fiorentina7115−94
20
Venezia7106−103
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference League play-offRelegation
From the results; deductions and head-to-head rules not included.
INT719.36.9+12.416.0191st
2ROM717.35.7+11.715.4172nd
3NAP713.79.4+4.312.6109th▼6
4JUV68.33.1+5.211.9118th▼4
5MIL69.86.0+3.810.4127th▼2
6BOL78.79.6-0.99.6514th▼8
7MZA610.28.1+2.19.5415th▼8
8SAS711.311.1+0.29.5812th▼4
9LAZ69.98.9+1.09.1163rd▲6
10COM710.19.0+1.19.1144th▲6
11FIO79.79.6+0.19.0419th▼8
12FRO711.314.6-3.38.2135th▲7
13VEN711.415.8-4.47.7320th▼7
14TOR66.48.1-1.77.2713th▲1
15CAG65.78.6-3.06.7136th▲9
16GEN75.810.2-4.46.4418th▼2
17UDI76.811.0-4.25.9417th
18ATA67.012.4-5.45.3910th▲8
19PAR64.710.3-5.65.1416th▲3
20LEC75.314.1-8.83.7911th▲9
Expected goals from every shot, 11footy's own (how they are made). xPts: what the chances of each match were worth, added up. Real: the place in the table.
INT198778–9588%>99%<1%
2ROM177466–839%91%<1%
3COM146657–761%56%<1%
4JUV116556–741%49%<1%
5MIL126354–73<1%38%<1%
6NAP106354–71<1%35%<1%
7LAZ166051–69<1%19%<1%
8ATA95546–64<1%7%<1%
9FRO135244–61<1%3%1%
10CAG134941–58<1%1%3%
11SAS84738–56<1%1%5%
12BOL54637–55<1%<1%8%
13TOR74536–54<1%<1%10%
14FIO44536–54<1%<1%10%
15MZA44233–51<1%<1%20%
16UDI44132–50<1%<1%25%
17GEN44031–48<1%<1%29%
18PAR43527–44<1%<1%57%
19VEN33527–44<1%<1%58%
20LEC93325–41<1%<1%73%
The rest of the season played 10,000 times with Vesta's chances, updated Sun 18 Oct; ordered by the average place. End: the average points; 8 in 10: the range of 8 seasons in 10.
Title race
Projection ›Champions League places
Roma91%Como56%Juventus49%AC Milan38%
Inter is in the top four in more than 99 seasons in 100.
Bottom three
Lecce 11th73%Venezia 20th58%Parma 16th57%Genoa 18th29%Fiorentina 19th10%
Fiorentina are 19th now but 7th on Vesta's chances of the bottom three (10%): they create more than they concede.
10,000 simulated seasons · updated Sun 18 Oct
Next matches
All rounds ›Fri 16 Oct1
Sat 17 Oct3
Sun 18 Oct4
Mon 19 Oct2
Sat 10 – Mon 12 Oct · Vesta's likeliest result came true in 7 of 10
Sat 10 Oct3
Mon 12 Oct2
Top scorers
Lab ›A. Raimondo74.9+2.158119
2D. Malen66.3-0.340719
3L. Martínez45.0-1.035214
4D. Maldini42.9+1.144811
5M. Thuram42.4+1.636817
6G. Varela42.4+1.643111
7K. De Bruyne33.3-0.338012
8F. Mastantuono32.3+0.747510
9N. Krstovic31.9+1.127712
10G. Kvernadze31.9+1.16109
Season: Vesta's most likely total at the end.
Per 90 minutes
D. Malen407'1.40
2L. Martínez352'1.27
3K. De Bruyne380'0.79
4A. Raimondo581'0.76
5N. Krstovic277'0.63
Per 90 minutes, at least 270 minutes played (221 players).
Per 90 minutes, at least 270 minutes played (221 players).
D. Malen407'1.56
2L. Martínez352'1.44
3K. De Bruyne380'1.18
4P. Dybala503'1.03
5A. Raimondo581'0.85
Per 90 minutes, at least 270 minutes played (221 players).
Per 90 minutes, at least 270 minutes played (221 players).
N. Krstovicv Venezia 3–11.84
2K. De Bruynev Frosinone 3–01.53
3N. Langv Frosinone 3–01.40
4J. Yeboahat Atalanta 1–31.08
5A. Hainautat Atalanta 1–31.01
Most expected goals and assists in one match of the last round.
Is 19 from 7 a title?
Season by season, since 2001-02
Points after 7 matches; the bar is the share who became champions (champions / teams).
Every season
Inter lead by 2 points
Switch to Expected for the chances created and conceded, or Predicted for Vesta's final table.| # | Team | P | xG | xGA | xGD | xPts | Pts | Real |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 7 | 19.3 | 6.9 | +12.4 | 16.0 | 19 | 1st |
| 2 | Roma | 7 | 17.3 | 5.7 | +11.7 | 15.4 | 17 | 2nd |
| 3 | Napoli | 7 | 13.7 | 9.4 | +4.3 | 12.6 | 10 | 9th▼6 |
| 4 | Juventus | 6 | 8.3 | 3.1 | +5.2 | 11.9 | 11 | 8th▼4 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 6 | 9.8 | 6.0 | +3.8 | 10.4 | 12 | 7th▼2 |
| 6 | Bologna | 7 | 8.7 | 9.6 | -0.9 | 9.6 | 5 | 14th▼8 |
| 7 | Monza | 6 | 10.2 | 8.1 | +2.1 | 9.5 | 4 | 15th▼8 |
| 8 | Sassuolo | 7 | 11.3 | 11.1 | +0.2 | 9.5 | 8 | 12th▼4 |
| 9 | Lazio | 6 | 9.9 | 8.9 | +1.0 | 9.1 | 16 | 3rd▲6 |
| 10 | Como | 7 | 10.1 | 9.0 | +1.1 | 9.1 | 14 | 4th▲6 |
| 11 | Fiorentina | 7 | 9.7 | 9.6 | +0.1 | 9.0 | 4 | 19th▼8 |
| 12 | Frosinone | 7 | 11.3 | 14.6 | -3.3 | 8.2 | 13 | 5th▲7 |
| 13 | Venezia | 7 | 11.4 | 15.8 | -4.4 | 7.7 | 3 | 20th▼7 |
| 14 | Torino | 6 | 6.4 | 8.1 | -1.7 | 7.2 | 7 | 13th▲1 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 6 | 5.7 | 8.6 | -3.0 | 6.7 | 13 | 6th▲9 |
| 16 | Genoa | 7 | 5.8 | 10.2 | -4.4 | 6.4 | 4 | 18th▼2 |
| 17 | Udinese | 7 | 6.8 | 11.0 | -4.2 | 5.9 | 4 | 17th |
| 18 | Atalanta | 6 | 7.0 | 12.4 | -5.4 | 5.3 | 9 | 10th▲8 |
| 19 | Parma | 6 | 4.7 | 10.3 | -5.6 | 5.1 | 4 | 16th▲3 |
| 20 | Lecce | 7 | 5.3 | 14.1 | -8.8 | 3.7 | 9 | 11th▲9 |
Expected goals from every shot, 11footy's own (how they are made). xPts: the points the chances of each match were worth, added up. Real: the place in the table, with the gap to this order.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21–9 | +12 | 19 | WWDWW | CL  H |
| 2 | Roma | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16–3 | +13 | 17 | WWDDW | CL  H |
| 3 | Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11–4 | +7 | 16 | WWDWW | A |
| 4▲ | Como FT | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12–7 | +5 | 14 | WWWLD | CL  H |
| 5▼ | Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13–9 | +4 | 13 | WDWLW | A |
| 6▼ | Cagliari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6–3 | +3 | 13 | LWWWD | A |
| 7▼ | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11–5 | +6 | 12 | WDDWD | EL  A |
| 8▼ | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9–5 | +4 | 11 | WDLWD | H |
| 9 | Napoli | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10–7 | +3 | 10 | LWDWL | CL  H |
| 10 | Atalanta | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8–8 | 0 | 9 | WLLLW | ECL  A |
| 11▲ | Lecce FT | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9–12 | −3 | 9 | LLWLL | H |
| 12▼ | Sassuolo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12–14 | −2 | 8 | DWLDL | A |
| 13▼ | Torino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7–9 | −2 | 7 | LWLDW | A |
| 14 | Bologna | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6–10 | −4 | 5 | DLDWL | A |
| 15▲ | Monza | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9–15 | −6 | 4 | LDLWL | H |
| 16▲ | Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4–10 | −6 | 4 | LDLWL | H |
| 17▼ | Udinese FT | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9–16 | −7 | 4 | WLLLL | H |
| 18▲ | Genoa | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5–13 | −8 | 4 | LDLWL | H |
| 19▼ | Fiorentina FT | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8–17 | −9 | 4 | LLWDL | A |
| 20 | Venezia | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6–16 | −10 | 3 | LLLLW | A |
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference League play-offRelegationComputed from the results; deductions and head-to-head rules not included.
| # | Team | Pts | At the end | 8 in 10 | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 19 | 87 | 78–95 | 88% | >99% | <1% |
| 2 | Roma | 17 | 74 | 66–83 | 9% | 91% | <1% |
| 3 | Como | 14 | 66 | 57–76 | 1% | 56% | <1% |
| 4 | Juventus | 11 | 65 | 56–74 | 1% | 49% | <1% |
| 5 | AC Milan | 12 | 63 | 54–73 | <1% | 38% | <1% |
| 6 | Napoli | 10 | 63 | 54–71 | <1% | 35% | <1% |
| 7 | Lazio | 16 | 60 | 51–69 | <1% | 19% | <1% |
| 8 | Atalanta | 9 | 55 | 46–64 | <1% | 7% | <1% |
| 9 | Frosinone | 13 | 52 | 44–61 | <1% | 3% | 1% |
| 10 | Cagliari | 13 | 49 | 41–58 | <1% | 1% | 3% |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 8 | 47 | 38–56 | <1% | 1% | 5% |
| 12 | Bologna | 5 | 46 | 37–55 | <1% | <1% | 8% |
| 13 | Torino | 7 | 45 | 36–54 | <1% | <1% | 10% |
| 14 | Fiorentina | 4 | 45 | 36–54 | <1% | <1% | 10% |
| 15 | Monza | 4 | 42 | 33–51 | <1% | <1% | 20% |
| 16 | Udinese | 4 | 41 | 32–50 | <1% | <1% | 25% |
| 17 | Genoa | 4 | 40 | 31–48 | <1% | <1% | 29% |
| 18 | Parma | 4 | 35 | 27–44 | <1% | <1% | 57% |
| 19 | Venezia | 3 | 35 | 27–44 | <1% | <1% | 58% |
| 20 | Lecce | 9 | 33 | 25–41 | <1% | <1% | 73% |
The rest of the season played 10,000 times with Vesta's chances, updated Sun 18 Oct. Ordered by the average finishing place. The whole projection
Fri 16 – Mon 19 Oct
Every match with Vesta's forecast, published before kick-off. Last round, its most likely result happened in 7 of 10.Every round ›Antonio Raimondo leads with 7
Goals next to the chances behind them (xG); Vesta's season total in cobalt.All players in the Lab ›| # | Player | Goals | xG | G−xG | Min | Season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antonio Raimondo | 7 | 4.9 | +2.1 | 581 | 19 |
| 2 | Donyell Malen | 6 | 6.3 | -0.3 | 407 | 19 |
| 3 | Lautaro Martínez | 4 | 5.0 | -1.0 | 352 | 14 |
| 4 | Daniel Maldini | 4 | 2.9 | +1.1 | 448 | 11 |
| 5 | Marcus Thuram | 4 | 2.4 | +1.6 | 368 | 17 |
| 6 | Gustavo Varela | 4 | 2.4 | +1.6 | 431 | 11 |
| 7 | Kevin De Bruyne | 3 | 3.3 | -0.3 | 380 | 12 |
| 8 | Franco Mastantuono | 3 | 2.3 | +0.7 | 475 | 10 |
| 9 | Nikola Krstovic | 3 | 1.9 | +1.1 | 277 | 12 |
| 10 | Giorgi Kvernadze | 3 | 1.9 | +1.1 | 610 | 9 |
Leaders per 90 minutes
Leaders, per 90 minutes
At least 270 minutes played (221 players).
- 1Donyell Malen407'1.40
- 2Lautaro Martínez352'1.27
- 3Kevin De Bruyne380'0.79
- 4Antonio Raimondo581'0.76
- 5Nikola Krstovic277'0.63
- 1Paulo Dybala503'0.75
- 2Federico Dimarco468'0.68
- 3Alieu Njie309'0.48
- 4Kevin De Bruyne380'0.39
- 5Andy Diouf440'0.35
- 1Donyell Malen407'1.56
- 2Lautaro Martínez352'1.44
- 3Kevin De Bruyne380'1.18
- 4Paulo Dybala503'1.03
- 5Antonio Raimondo581'0.85
- 1Lautaro Martínez352'6.39
- 2Nico Paz517'5.40
- 3Donyell Malen407'4.86
- 4Franco Mastantuono475'4.74
- 5Marcus Thuram368'4.65
- 1Nikola Krstovicv Venezia 3–11.84
- 2Kevin De Bruynev Frosinone 3–01.53
- 3Noa Langv Frosinone 3–01.40
- 4John Yeboahat Atalanta 1–31.08
- 5Antoine Hainautat Atalanta 1–31.01
Most expected goals and assists in one match of the last round.
Is 19 from 7 a title?
Since 2001-02, 13 teams had 19 points after 7 matches and 7 became champions. The last three champions had 15, 16, 18 at that point.Show the chart, season by season
Points after 7 matches · bar = the share who became champions (champions / teams)Serie A 2001-02 to 2025-26 · 11footy data