Lab
74'Torino2-1Udinese61'Coventry2-0Newcastle United60'Levante1-2Sevilla
Vesta Brief

Sunday 4 October 2026

  • 18 matches with a published forecast; the likeliest result came true in 12 (Vesta expected 10.4).
  • Saturday 3 October: the likeliest result came true in 16 of 20 (Vesta expected 11.8).
18
matches with Vesta's forecast
16/20
likeliest results that came true, Saturday 3 October

The matches

the likeliest result came true in 12 of 18 · Vesta expected 10.4All matches of the day ›

Friendly6

FriendlyFull time
Argentina7
Burkina Faso0
Vesta said 97 · 3 · 0Goals expected 4.2–0.3likeliest 4–0
FriendlyFull time
United States3
Mexico0
Vesta said 32 · 30 · 38Goals expected 1.1–1.2likeliest 1–1
FriendlyFull time
Comoros0
Senegal1
Vesta said 12 · 22 · 66Goals expected 0.7–1.9likeliest 0–2
FriendlyFull time
Kyrgyzstan3
Lebanon1
Vesta said 47 · 29 · 24Goals expected 1.4–0.9likeliest 1–1
FriendlyFull time
Egypt0
South Africa1
Vesta said 62 · 24 · 14Goals expected 1.8–0.7likeliest 1–0
FriendlyFull time
Morocco1
Mali1
Vesta said 79 · 15 · 6Goals expected 2.4–0.6likeliest 2–0

CONCACAF Nations League4

CONCACAF Nations LeagueFull time
Belize0
French Guiana2
Vesta said 33 · 30 · 37Goals expected 1.1–1.2likeliest 1–1
CONCACAF Nations LeagueFull time
Guyana8
Dominica1
Vesta said 88 · 9 · 3Goals expected 3.1–0.4likeliest 3–0
CONCACAF Nations LeagueFull time
Bahamas2
US Virgin Isl.3
Vesta said 32 · 30 · 38Goals expected 1.1–1.2likeliest 1–1
CONCACAF Nations LeagueFull time
Turks & Caicos3
Br. Virgin Isl.0
Vesta said 52 · 27 · 21Goals expected 1.5–0.9likeliest 1–0

UEFA Nations League8

UEFA Nations LeagueFull time
Azerbaijan1
Lithuania0
Vesta said 50 · 28 · 22Goals expected 1.5–0.9likeliest 1–1
UEFA Nations LeagueFull time
Kosovo1
Austria1
Vesta said 30 · 30 · 40Goals expected 1.1–1.3likeliest 1–1
UEFA Nations LeagueFull time
Malta1
Andorra0
Vesta said 71 · 20 · 9Goals expected 2.1–0.6likeliest 2–0
UEFA Nations LeagueFull time
Greece0
Germany0
Vesta said 34 · 30 · 36Goals expected 1.1–1.2likeliest 1–1
UEFA Nations LeagueFull time
Netherlands2
Serbia1
Vesta said 78 · 16 · 6Goals expected 2.4–0.6likeliest 2–0
UEFA Nations LeagueFull time
Portugal2
Norway1
Vesta said 62 · 24 · 14Goals expected 1.8–0.7likeliest 1–0
UEFA Nations LeagueFull time
Ireland1
Israel1
Vesta said 61 · 24 · 15Goals expected 1.8–0.8likeliest 1–0
UEFA Nations LeagueFull time
Wales0
Denmark1
Vesta said 31 · 30 · 39Goals expected 1.1–1.3likeliest 1–1

Source: Vesta's forecast log, the last forecast published before each kick-off, never edited. Results: the checked results on record.

What changed since the last round

The season projection is kept for the latest round only, so this day's moves are not shown here. The latest ones are on today's brief.